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Late Cycle Deals and the Price of Optimism

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Late cycle markets reward humility. You do not need fear. You need realism: careful diligence and disciplined risk allocation.

The deal is not what you sign. The deal is what survives reality.

Earn outs, adjustments, indemnities, and escrows are respect for complexity, not pessimism.

  • Draft allocation mechanisms that work across cycles.
  • Run diligence as an exposure map.
  • Plan integration before signing.

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